Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 4.093929 4.551120 5.040277 5.602952 6.232822 6.916741 7.716370
2026-02-08 3.291167 3.909248 4.618085 5.492818 6.545641 7.774945 9.323516
2026-02-15 2.775484 3.479147 4.333171 5.449806 6.877022 8.647705 11.022903
2026-02-22 2.472508 3.243824 4.226053 5.575349 7.391368 9.765815 13.130188
2026-03-01 2.185851 2.981471 4.037204 5.550488 7.680357 10.595308 14.928496
2026-03-08 1.911919 2.697344 3.777521 5.384500 7.736830 11.088658 16.288032
2026-03-15 1.723213 2.506636 3.619658 5.332645 7.932025 11.775834 17.977910
2026-03-22 1.614837 2.417291 3.592676 5.460441 8.392872 12.884727 20.410213
2026-03-29 1.522129 2.339865 3.572070 5.589405 8.859225 14.036479 23.023637
2026-04-05 1.416495 2.231156 3.491088 5.611290 9.150602 14.929356 25.297956
2026-04-12 1.304366 2.101133 3.363325 5.542047 9.279908 15.559969 27.182012
2026-04-19 1.200907 1.975536 3.230598 5.449487 9.355809 16.099078 28.950557
2026-04-26 1.105045 1.856361 3.101369 5.355955 9.429530 16.656297 30.845286
2026-05-03 1.018992 1.746722 2.979114 5.263281 9.495570 17.206176 32.791558
2026-05-10 0.951063 1.662646 2.893470 5.227114 9.659174 17.947558 35.188204
2026-05-17 0.914091 1.629987 2.895012 5.349254 10.128651 19.307583 38.968345
2026-05-24 0.859151 1.560105 2.823262 5.326285 10.314775 20.134188 41.747224
2026-05-31 0.790801 1.459954 2.687579 5.167725 10.216595 20.382445 43.326833
2026-06-07 0.742973 1.394531 2.611470 5.118213 10.331224 21.069845 45.930020
2026-06-14 0.720132 1.375051 2.621228 5.240606 10.810468 22.561478 50.499998
2026-06-21 0.698788 1.356704 2.631421 5.364079 11.302548 24.127680 55.428866
2026-06-28 0.667518 1.316195 2.594317 5.385037 11.574140 25.236556 59.411666
2026-07-05 0.629459 1.259144 2.519425 5.318759 11.646089 25.903520 62.401822